Grid Energy Intelligence
Forecasting demand and peak load at state scale.
Multi-horizon energy demand and peak load forecasting with calibrated uncertainty across all 32 Indian states. The model captures seasonal patterns, industrial activity, and weather-driven consumption dynamics.
- Problem
- Grid operators need reliable day-ahead and intraday forecasts for both energy demand and peak load. Deterministic forecasts leave operators exposed to volatility, and state-level models fail to generalize across diverse consumption patterns.
- Approach
- A temporal fusion transformer that encodes static state embeddings, seasonal calendars, and exogenous weather features. Quantile output heads produce calibrated 10-90% prediction intervals for both energy (MU) and peak (MW).
- Outcome
- R² of 0.984 for both targets across 32 states with 90.4% prediction interval coverage. The model maintains high accuracy even at 24-day horizons.